AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
100%
SPARTANS
0%
PACERS
--
SPARTANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
UNC GREENSBORO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (UNC Greensboro)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCG -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCG)
WILP By 1-7 points
0.0%
WILP By 8-14 points
0.0%
UNCG By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNCG By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
William Peace
45
WILLIAM PEACE
UNC Greensboro
90
UNC GREENSBORO
Simulated Score
William Peace
55
WILLIAM PEACE
UNC Greensboro
92
UNC GREENSBORO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spartans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spartans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spartans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim
Spartans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 12, 2025
WILP @ UNCG
62 - 90
Dec 17, 2024
WILP @ UNCG
37 - 86
Dec 1, 2023
WILP @ UNCG
56 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+21.9% more
UNC Greensboro: 2.0
vs
William Peace: 1.6
Rebounding (L5)
+21.8% more
UNC Greensboro: 30.9
vs
William Peace: 25.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.5%
UNC Greensboro: 77.5%
vs
William Peace: 64.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+13.0%
UNC Greensboro: 45.6%
vs
William Peace: 32.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WILP Score
45.0
62
UNCG Score
90.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 25.2
47.0 / 29.0
Assists
11.7 / 11.2
20.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.6
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 32.6
54.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
77.5 / 64.1
67.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 25.4
41.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.2 / 5.6
5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 19.5
3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WILP
--
UNCG
Advantage
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: -1.9
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WILP
--
UNCG
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.9
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WILP
--
UNCG
22-10-0
O: 68.8% / U: 31.3%
Total +/-: +7.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCG
WILP
UNCG
WILP
ML
38%
13-21
100%
1-0
71%
24-10
100%
1-0
ATS
44%
15-19
100%
1-0
71%
24-10
100%
1-0
TTL
76%
26-8
100%
1-0
100%
34-0
100%
1-0