BREVARD
TORNADOSBRE
0-0 | Road
63
GARDNER-WEBB
RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB
1-11 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
TORNADOS
100%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
0%
TORNADOS
--
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
GARDNER-WEBB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Gardner-Webb)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GWEB -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GWEB)
BRE By 1-7 points
5.8%
BRE By 8-14 points
1.4%
GWEB By 1-7 points
16.9%
GWEB By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Brevard
74
BREVARD
Gardner-Webb
88
GARDNER-WEBB
Simulated Score
Brevard
56
BREVARD
Gardner-Webb
88
GARDNER-WEBB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Runnin' Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Runnin' Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Runnin' Bulldogs (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Runnin' Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 12, 2025
BRE @ GWEB
63 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+53.0% more
Gardner-Webb: 2.8
vs
Brevard: 1.8
Rebounding (L5)
+32.9% more
Gardner-Webb: 33.6
vs
Brevard: 25.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.7%
Gardner-Webb: 78.8%
vs
Brevard: 64.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.1%
Gardner-Webb: 42.1%
vs
Brevard: 35.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRE Score
74.0
63
GWEB Score
88.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 30.0
13.0 / 25.0
Assists
9.5 / 11.6
10.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.8 / 1.8
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 35.0
53.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.8 / 64.1
57.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 25.3
38.0 / 25.0
Steals
4.5 / 10.0
11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 19.5
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRE
--
GWEB
Advantage
4-29-0
(12.1%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRE
--
GWEB
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BRE
--
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GWEB
BRE
GWEB
BRE
ML
73%
22-8
100%
1-0
63%
19-11
100%
1-0
ATS
73%
22-8
100%
1-0
63%
19-11
100%
1-0
TTL
53%
16-14
0%
0-1
100%
30-0
100%
1-0
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