AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
WILDCATS
--
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
BETHEL (TN)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Bethel (TN))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BETHTN -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BETHTN)
BETHTN By 1-7 points
15.3%
BETHTN By 8-14 points
25.3%
TNTC By 1-7 points
4.8%
TNTC By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethel (TN)
84
BETHEL (TN)
Tennessee Tech
69
TENNESSEE TECH
Simulated Score
Bethel (TN)
60
BETHEL (TN)
Tennessee Tech
88
TENNESSEE TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Golden Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
BETHTN @ TNTC
69 - 101
Dec 12, 2023
BETHTN @ TNTC
74 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+38.4% more
Bethel (TN): 20.4
vs
Tennessee Tech: 12.6
Blocks (L5)
+30.2% more
Bethel (TN): 4.2
vs
Tennessee Tech: 2.9
Assists (L5)
+39.3% more
Tennessee Tech: 14.1
vs
Bethel (TN): 10.1
Steals (L5)
+32.6% more
Tennessee Tech: 7.8
vs
Bethel (TN): 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BETHTN Score
84.0
69
TNTC Score
69.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 27.0
43.0 / 13.0
Assists
14.1 / 10.1
19.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.9 / 4.2
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 35.4
55.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
73.0 / 63.4
78.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 35.2
41.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.8 / 5.9
14.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 20.4
17.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BETHTN
--
TNTC
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BETHTN
--
TNTC
Advantage
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BETHTN
--
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TNTC
BETHTN
TNTC
BETHTN
ML
50%
15-15
0%
0-2
65%
15-8
100%
2-0
ATS
50%
15-15
0%
0-2
65%
15-8
100%
2-0
TTL
57%
17-13
100%
2-0
100%
23-0
100%
2-0