AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
ROYALS
--
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
ORAL ROBERTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Oral Roberts)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORU -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORU)
ECCL By 1-7 points
0.1%
ECCL By 8-14 points
0.0%
ORU By 1-7 points
0.6%
ORU By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Ecclesia
59
ECCLESIA
Oral Roberts
91
ORAL ROBERTS
Simulated Score
Ecclesia
52
ECCLESIA
Oral Roberts
98
ORAL ROBERTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Eagles (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Golden Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
ECCL @ ORU
52 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+102.3% more
Oral Roberts: 2.6
vs
Ecclesia: 1.3
Rebounding (L5)
+38.9% more
Oral Roberts: 31.5
vs
Ecclesia: 22.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+23.7%
Oral Roberts: 78.3%
vs
Ecclesia: 54.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.7%
Oral Roberts: 42.0%
vs
Ecclesia: 34.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ECCL Score
59.0
52
ORU Score
91.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 28.1
34.0 / 6.0
Assists
10.4 / 10.2
18.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.6 / 1.3
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 34.3
56.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
78.3 / 54.6
73.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
31.5 / 22.7
47.0 / 23.0
Steals
6.1 / 6.3
5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 19.1
19.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ECCL
--
ORU
Advantage
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ECCL
--
ORU
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ECCL
--
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORU
ECCL
ORU
ECCL
ML
85%
28-5
60%
3-2
73%
24-9
100%
5-0
ATS
82%
27-6
60%
3-2
73%
24-9
100%
5-0
TTL
61%
20-13
100%
5-0
100%
33-0
100%
5-0