NORTHERN NEW MEXICO
EAGLESNNMC
0-0 | Road
54
COLORADO STATE
RAMSCSU
9-2 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
RAMS
0%
EAGLES
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
COLORADO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Colorado State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSU -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSU)
NNMC By 1-7 points
0.0%
NNMC By 8-14 points
0.0%
CSU By 1-7 points
0.1%
CSU By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern New Mexico
64
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO
Colorado State
102
COLORADO STATE
Simulated Score
Northern New Mexico
52
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO
Colorado State
98
COLORADO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
NNMC @ CSU
54 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+69.0% more
Colorado State: 16.4
vs
Northern New Mexico: 9.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+20.5%
Colorado State: 56.4%
vs
Northern New Mexico: 35.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.4%
Colorado State: 80.2%
vs
Northern New Mexico: 65.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.1%
Colorado State: 46.2%
vs
Northern New Mexico: 34.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NNMC Score
64.0
54
CSU Score
102.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
46.2 / 34.1
38.0 / 23.0
Assists
16.4 / 9.7
24.0 / 10.0
Blocks
1.6 / 2.5
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
56.4 / 35.9
61.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
80.2 / 65.8
77.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
29.8 / 35.1
40.0 / 28.0
Steals
7.5 / 8.2
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 20.5
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NNMC
--
CSU
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 4.6
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NNMC
--
CSU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.6
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NNMC
--
CSU
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSU
NNMC
CSU
NNMC
ML
56%
19-15
100%
1-0
65%
20-11
100%
1-0
ATS
62%
21-13
100%
1-0
65%
20-11
100%
1-0
TTL
56%
19-15
0%
0-1
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
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