BRYAN (TN)
LIONSBRTN
0-0 | Road
51
SAMFORD
BULLDOGSSAM
6-6 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
LIONS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
SAMFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Samford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAM -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAM)
BRTN By 1-7 points
0.0%
BRTN By 8-14 points
0.0%
SAM By 1-7 points
0.0%
SAM By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Bryan (TN)
62
BRYAN (TN)
Samford
105
SAMFORD
Simulated Score
Bryan (TN)
55
BRYAN (TN)
Samford
102
SAMFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 15, 2025
BRTN @ SAM
51 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+61.8% more
Samford: 3.1
vs
Bryan (TN): 1.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Samford: 42.4%
vs
Bryan (TN): 35.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+47.8% more
Bryan (TN): 21.2
vs
Samford: 11.1
Steals (L5)
+11.6% more
Bryan (TN): 4.6
vs
Samford: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRTN Score
62.0
51
SAM Score
105.0
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.4 / 33.2
47.0 / 20.0
Assists
11.8 / 11.0
21.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.1 / 1.9
6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 35.4
55.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
65.3 / 66.9
78.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 33.2
45.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.0 / 4.6
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 21.2
6.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRTN
--
SAM
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRTN
--
SAM
Advantage
17-12-1
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BRTN
--
SAM
18-11-1
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAM
BRTN
SAM
BRTN
ML
65%
20-11
100%
4-0
68%
21-10
100%
4-0
ATS
68%
21-10
100%
4-0
68%
21-10
100%
4-0
TTL
35%
11-20
100%
4-0
100%
31-0
100%
4-0
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