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EAST TEXAS A&M

LIONSETAM

6-5  |  Road

70
FINAL
Mon, Dec 15 • 7:00 PM ET
University Center
View Odds Details →

SE LOUISIANA

LIONSSELA

4-7  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
LIONS
0%
LIONS --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
SE LOUISIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (SE Louisiana)
LionsETAM (-3.5) 0 LionsSELA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

1.1%

Lions Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SELA -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SELA)

ETAM By 1-7 points

0.8%

ETAM By 8-14 points

0.1%

SELA By 1-7 points

4.8%

SELA By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
63
EAST TEXAS A&M
86
SE LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
69
EAST TEXAS A&M
78
SE LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lions Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lions (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 SELA @ ETAM 53 - 70
Dec 15, 2025 ETAM @ SELA 70 - 69
Feb 22, 2025 ETAM @ SELA 65 - 83
Jan 20, 2025 SELA @ ETAM 76 - 68
Feb 12, 2024 SELA @ ETAM 79 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +53.9% more
SE Louisiana: 9.2 vs East Texas A&M: 6.0
Free Throw % (L5) +5.4%
SE Louisiana: 72.3% vs East Texas A&M: 66.9%
Blocks (L5) +25.3% more
East Texas A&M: 3.7 vs SE Louisiana: 2.8
Turnovers (L5) +19.5% more
East Texas A&M: 16.0 vs SE Louisiana: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ETAM Score 63.0 70
SELA Score 86.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 31.6 38.0 / 48.0
Assists 12.5 / 15.2 14.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.7 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 42.8 41.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 72.3 / 66.9 76.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 31.6 / 32.1 33.0 / 33.0
Steals 9.2 / 6.0 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 16.0 7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ETAM Advantage
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
SELA
9-22-0 (29.0%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ETAM
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
SELA
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.3
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SELA
ETAM
SELA
ETAM
ML
70% 21-9
52% 13-12
66% 19-10
62% 15-9
ATS
60% 18-12
56% 14-11
67% 20-10
62% 15-9
TTL
70% 21-9
68% 17-8
100% 30-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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