ECCLESIA
ROYALSECCL
0-0 | Road
64
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
GOLDEN LIONSUAPB
2-10 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
GOLDEN LIONS
0%
ROYALS
--
GOLDEN LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
190.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Arkansas-Pine Bluff)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UAPB -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAPB)
ECCL By 1-7 points
13.7%
ECCL By 8-14 points
4.8%
UAPB By 1-7 points
25.3%
UAPB By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Ecclesia
91
ECCLESIA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
99
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Simulated Score
Ecclesia
47
ECCLESIA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
98
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Lions (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Golden Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -51.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 190.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 15, 2025
ECCL @ UAPB
64 - 114
Dec 17, 2024
ECCL @ UAPB
61 - 120
Dec 18, 2023
ECCL @ UAPB
75 - 125
Dec 17, 2022
ECCL @ UAPB
50 - 104
Dec 18, 2021
ECCL @ UAPB
56 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+212.5% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 3.8
vs
Ecclesia: 1.2
Assists (L5)
+94.8% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 16.4
vs
Ecclesia: 8.4
Rebounding (L5)
+35.5% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 30.9
vs
Ecclesia: 22.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+18.4%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 77.8%
vs
Ecclesia: 59.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ECCL Score
91.0
64
UAPB Score
99.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 20.7
37.0 / 31.0
Assists
16.4 / 8.4
30.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.8 / 1.2
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 31.9
53.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
77.8 / 59.4
78.0 / 44.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 22.8
53.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.6 / 7.9
15.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 18.0
19.0 / 26.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ECCL
--
UAPB
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ECCL
--
UAPB
Advantage
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ECCL
--
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAPB
ECCL
UAPB
ECCL
ML
74%
23-8
60%
3-2
73%
19-7
100%
5-0
ATS
73%
22-8-1
60%
3-2
73%
19-7
100%
5-0
TTL
68%
21-10
100%
5-0
100%
26-0
100%
5-0
