NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
18-14-1 | Road
2
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
16-6-9 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Carter Hart
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | None-None | 0.92 | 0.973 | -- |
| Carter Hart | None-None | 0.92 | 0.970 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.92
GAA
0.92
0.973 Ldr
Save %
0.970
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
DEVILS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
NJ By 1 goal
12.1%
NJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Simulated Score
New Jersey
2
NEW JERSEY
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 17, 2025
NJ @ VGK
2 - 1
Dec 5, 2025
VGK @ NJ
3 - 0
Mar 2, 2025
NJ @ VGK
0 - 2
Feb 6, 2025
VGK @ NJ
3 - 1
Mar 17, 2024
NJ @ VGK
1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+34.9% more
Vegas: 16.6
vs
New Jersey: 12.3
Power Play % (L5)
+24.7%
Vegas: 31.2%
vs
New Jersey: 6.5%
Hits (L5)
+12.0% more
New Jersey: 19.6
vs
Vegas: 17.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.4%
New Jersey: 54.6%
vs
Vegas: 48.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
3.0
2
VGK Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.6 / 12.3
19.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
48.3 / 54.6
43.6 / 56.4
Hits
17.3 / 19.6
21.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
31.2 / 6.5
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.3 / 27.9
37.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.8
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
NJ
VGK
NJ
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-2-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-1
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