DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
5-5 | Road
89
HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
5-7 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
100%
CRUSADERS
0%
BIG GREEN
--
CRUSADERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
HOLY CROSS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Holy Cross)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HC -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HC)
DART By 1-7 points
4.8%
DART By 8-14 points
1.1%
HC By 1-7 points
15.3%
HC By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Dartmouth
71
DARTMOUTH
Holy Cross
86
HOLY CROSS
Simulated Score
Dartmouth
65
DARTMOUTH
Holy Cross
68
HOLY CROSS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Crusaders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crusaders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Crusaders (+1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Crusaders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.0
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u148.0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
DART @ HC
89 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+85.3% more
Holy Cross: 7.6
vs
Dartmouth: 4.1
Blocks (L5)
+13.9% more
Dartmouth: 2.9
vs
Holy Cross: 2.5
Assists (L5)
+13.4% more
Dartmouth: 14.3
vs
Holy Cross: 12.4
Turnovers (L5)
+12.8% more
Dartmouth: 12.7
vs
Holy Cross: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DART Score
71.0
89
HC Score
86.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.1 / 37.6
35.0 / 58.0
Assists
12.4 / 14.3
8.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.5 / 2.9
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 43.9
36.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
67.7 / 70.8
81.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 34.0
26.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.6 / 4.1
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 12.7
8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
Advantage
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
HC
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HC
DART
HC
DART
ML
52%
16-15
62%
16-10
61%
19-12
50%
13-13
ATS
55%
17-14
65%
17-9
64%
21-12
50%
13-13
TTL
58%
18-13
88%
23-3
100%
33-0
100%
26-0
