Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Dragons HOW @ DREX

HOWARD

BISONHOW

8-5  |  Road

74
FINAL
Tue, Dec 16 • 11:00 AM ET
Daskalakis Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

DREXEL

DRAGONSDREX

4-7  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
📊
DRAGONS
0%
BISON --
DRAGONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
DREXEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Drexel)
BisonHOW (-3.5) 0 DragonsDREX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

0.3%

Dragons Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DREX -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DREX)

HOW By 1-7 points

0.3%

HOW By 8-14 points

0.0%

DREX By 1-7 points

2.2%

DREX By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
54
HOWARD
81
DREXEL
Simulated Score
68
HOWARD
72
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dragons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dragons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dragons (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Dragons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u136.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 16, 2025 HOW @ DREX 74 - 66
Dec 17, 2024 DREX @ HOW 68 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +10.7% more
Drexel: 40.5 vs Howard: 36.6
Steals (L5) +22.9% more
Howard: 8.8 vs Drexel: 6.8
Blocks (L5) +15.2% more
Howard: 4.8 vs Drexel: 4.0
Turnovers (L5) +14.7% more
Howard: 13.5 vs Drexel: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOW Score 54.0 74
DREX Score 81.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.9 / 28.4 34.0 / 50.0
Assists 13.0 / 14.6 14.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.0 / 4.8 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.3 / 43.6 43.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 64.6 / 66.6 63.0 / 92.0
Rebounding 40.5 / 36.6 22.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.8 / 8.8 3.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 13.5 14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
DREX
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
DREX
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
HOW
DREX
HOW
ML
58% 19-14
59% 20-14
81% 26-6
71% 22-9
ATS
70% 23-10
59% 20-14
81% 26-6
71% 22-9
TTL
48% 16-17
62% 21-13
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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