LIPSCOMB
BISONSLIP
6-4 | Road
73
DUKE
BLUE DEVILSDUKE
10-0 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
100%
BLUE DEVILS
0%
BISONS
--
BLUE DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-72.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +72.0 points (Duke)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUKE -72.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)
LIP By 1-7 points
0.0%
LIP By 8-14 points
0.0%
DUKE By 1-7 points
0.0%
DUKE By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Lipscomb
35
LIPSCOMB
Duke
107
DUKE
Simulated Score
Lipscomb
65
LIPSCOMB
Duke
88
DUKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Devils (+32.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -72.0
D
Sim
Blue Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
LIP @ DUKE
73 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.6% more
Duke: 5.2
vs
Lipscomb: 4.2
Rebounding (L5)
+14.7% more
Duke: 40.1
vs
Lipscomb: 35.0
Assists (L5)
+26.0% more
Lipscomb: 21.1
vs
Duke: 15.6
Steals (L5)
+21.0% more
Lipscomb: 7.9
vs
Duke: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIP Score
35.0
73
DUKE Score
107.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 38.4
32.0 / 30.0
Assists
15.6 / 21.1
21.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.2 / 4.2
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 50.8
52.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
66.6 / 67.9
77.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
40.1 / 35.0
55.0 / 21.0
Steals
6.3 / 7.9
14.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 10.2
22.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
DUKE
Advantage
35-3-0
(92.1%)
Margin: 18.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
DUKE
Advantage
20-18-0
(52.6%)
Margin: 18.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.9
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUKE
LIP
DUKE
LIP
ML
71%
27-11
71%
22-9
73%
24-9
66%
19-10
ATS
79%
30-8
71%
22-9
73%
24-9
66%
19-10
TTL
47%
18-20
58%
18-13
100%
33-0
100%
29-0
Contextual Game News
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
ACC Commissioner Jim Phillips Shrugs Off Realignment Buzz, Decla…
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
John Calipari Clarifies Stance on Player Compensation After Vira…
Duke's Cameron Crazies Crowned Top Student Section for 2026-27