SACRED HEART
PIONEERSSHU
4-7 | Road
82
UMASS LOWELL
RIVER HAWKSUML
5-8 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
100%
RIVER HAWKS
0%
PIONEERS
--
RIVER HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
UMASS LOWELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (UMass Lowell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UML -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UML)
SHU By 1-7 points
0.0%
SHU By 8-14 points
0.0%
UML By 1-7 points
0.4%
UML By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacred Heart
58
SACRED HEART
UMass Lowell
92
UMASS LOWELL
Simulated Score
Sacred Heart
72
SACRED HEART
UMass Lowell
78
UMASS LOWELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
River Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
River Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
River Hawks (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
River Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
SHU @ UML
82 - 87
Dec 3, 2022
UML @ SHU
70 - 59
Nov 16, 2022
SHU @ UML
81 - 90
Dec 19, 2021
SHU @ UML
62 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.2% more
UMass Lowell: 3.6
vs
Sacred Heart: 2.8
Rebounding (L5)
+18.8% more
UMass Lowell: 42.2
vs
Sacred Heart: 35.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
UMass Lowell: 49.4%
vs
Sacred Heart: 42.4%
Steals (L5)
+24.2% more
Sacred Heart: 6.9
vs
UMass Lowell: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SHU Score
58.0
82
UML Score
92.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 36.1
40.0 / 42.0
Assists
13.8 / 15.9
21.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.8
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.4 / 42.4
45.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
59.8 / 79.6
56.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
42.2 / 35.5
41.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.2 / 6.9
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 14.2
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
UML
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
UML
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.5
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UML
SHU
UML
SHU
ML
70%
23-10
61%
20-13
58%
19-14
73%
24-9
ATS
70%
23-10
76%
25-8
58%
19-14
73%
24-9
TTL
58%
19-14
58%
19-14
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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