Home / NHL Projections NHL / Canucks @ Rangers VAN @ NYR

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

12-17-3  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Dec 16 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

16-14-4  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Thatcher Demko
GOALTENDER

Thatcher Demko

#35 | Goaltender
@
Jonathan Quick
GOALTENDER

Jonathan Quick

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Thatcher Demko None-None 0.00 1.000 1
Jonathan Quick None-None 2.05 0.875 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 2.05
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.875
1 Ldr SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
📊
RANGERS
0%
CANUCKS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
CanucksVAN (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canucks Cover

30.9%

Rangers Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)

VAN By 1 goal

12.1%

VAN By 2-3 goals

9.3%

NYR By 1 goal

19.7%

NYR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
VANCOUVER
3
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
VANCOUVER
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rangers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rangers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 16, 2025 VAN @ NYR 3 - 0
Oct 28, 2025 NYR @ VAN 2 - 0
Mar 22, 2025 VAN @ NYR 3 - 5
Nov 19, 2024 NYR @ VAN 4 - 3
Jan 8, 2024 VAN @ NYR 6 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +36.8% more
New York: 15.3 vs Vancouver: 11.2
Hits (L5) +23.8% more
New York: 27.9 vs Vancouver: 22.5
Faceoff % (L5) +7.6%
New York: 60.4% vs Vancouver: 52.8%
Takeaways (L5) +16.0% more
Vancouver: 4.1 vs New York: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 2.0 3
NYR Score 3.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.3 / 11.2 6.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 60.4 / 52.8 53.2 / 46.8
Hits 27.9 / 22.5 26.0 / 20.0
Power Play % 2348.0 / 3088.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 26.4 / 25.4 23.0 / 17.0
Takeaways 3.4 / 4.1 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
49%MONEY51%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
VAN
NYR
VAN
ML
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
ATS
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
TTL
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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