DEPAUL
BLUE DEMONSDEP
8-4 | Road
66
ST. JOHN'S
RED STORMSJU
7-3 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEMONS
100%
RED STORM
0%
BLUE DEMONS
--
RED STORM
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
ST. JOHN'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (St. John's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SJU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJU)
DEP By 1-7 points
12.2%
DEP By 8-14 points
4.0%
SJU By 1-7 points
24.3%
SJU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
DePaul
71
DEPAUL
St. John's
80
ST. JOHN'S
Simulated Score
DePaul
63
DEPAUL
St. John's
82
ST. JOHN'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Storm
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Storm
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Storm (+19.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Red Storm (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.0
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u149.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
SJU @ DEP
68 - 56
Dec 16, 2025
DEP @ SJU
66 - 79
Feb 19, 2025
SJU @ DEP
82 - 58
Dec 17, 2024
DEP @ SJU
61 - 89
Mar 5, 2024
SJU @ DEP
104 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+170.3% more
St. John's: 7.3
vs
DePaul: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+27.7% more
St. John's: 38.9
vs
DePaul: 30.4
Turnovers (L5)
+22.8% more
St. John's: 15.4
vs
DePaul: 12.5
Steals (L5)
+21.4% more
St. John's: 8.4
vs
DePaul: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEP Score
71.0
66
SJU Score
80.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 37.5
45.0 / 28.0
Assists
13.0 / 15.5
14.0 / 15.0
Blocks
7.3 / 2.7
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 49.2
45.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
76.0 / 68.2
81.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
38.9 / 30.4
39.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.9
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 12.5
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEP
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
SJU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEP
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
SJU
Advantage
22-13-1
(62.9%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
SJU
13-23-0
O: 36.1% / U: 63.9%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJU
DEP
SJU
DEP
ML
62%
18-11
59%
19-13
62%
18-11
80%
24-6
ATS
66%
19-10
50%
16-16
62%
18-11
80%
24-6
TTL
59%
17-12
53%
17-15
100%
29-0
100%
30-0
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