Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Foxes @ Yellow Jackets MRST @ GT

MARIST

RED FOXESMRST

7-2  |  Road

76
FINAL
Tue, Dec 16 • 7:30 PM ET
McCamish Pavilion
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA TECH

YELLOW JACKETSGT

6-4  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
RED FOXES
100%
📊
YELLOW JACKETS
0%
RED FOXES --
YELLOW JACKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Red FoxesMRST (-3.5) 0 Yellow JacketsGT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Foxes Cover

11.5%

Yellow Jackets Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GT -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

MRST By 1-7 points

8.0%

MRST By 8-14 points

2.2%

GT By 1-7 points

20.1%

GT By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
65
MARIST
77
GEORGIA TECH
Simulated Score
67
MARIST
81
GEORGIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Yellow Jackets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Yellow Jackets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Yellow Jackets (+7) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Yellow Jackets (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 16, 2025 MRST @ GT 76 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +143.2% more
Georgia Tech: 4.3 vs Marist: 1.8
Steals (L5) +38.0% more
Marist: 8.2 vs Georgia Tech: 5.1
Free Throw % (L5) +15.4%
Marist: 82.9% vs Georgia Tech: 67.5%
Turnovers (L5) +8.8% more
Marist: 12.3 vs Georgia Tech: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MRST Score 65.0 76
GT Score 77.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.5 / 32.9 73.0 / 48.0
Assists 16.6 / 16.1 21.0 / 21.0
Blocks 4.3 / 1.8 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 46.2 58.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 82.9 76.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 40.3 / 37.8 35.0 / 26.0
Steals 5.1 / 8.2 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 12.3 15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRST Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 5.8 ATS +/-: +1.6
GT
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRST Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: 5.8 ATS +/-: +1.6
GT
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MRST
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -3.0
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
MRST
GT
MRST
ML
61% 19-12
55% 17-14
63% 19-11
61% 19-12
ATS
55% 17-14
74% 23-8
63% 19-11
61% 19-12
TTL
61% 19-12
52% 16-15
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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