Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bears @ Red Raiders UNCO @ TTU

NORTHERN COLORADO

BEARSUNCO

9-1  |  Road

90
FINAL
Tue, Dec 16 • 8:00 PM ET
United Supermarkets Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

7-3  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
100%
📊
RED RAIDERS
0%
BEARS --
RED RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Texas Tech)
BearsUNCO (-3.5) 0 Red RaidersTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bears Cover

18.4%

Red Raiders Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TTU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

UNCO By 1-7 points

12.2%

UNCO By 8-14 points

4.0%

TTU By 1-7 points

24.3%

TTU By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
63
NORTHERN COLORADO
72
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
65
NORTHERN COLORADO
82
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Red Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Raiders (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Red Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 16, 2025 UNCO @ TTU 90 - 101
Nov 29, 2024 UNCO @ TTU 64 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +89.4% more
Texas Tech: 4.1 vs Northern Colorado: 2.2
Steals (L5) +29.3% more
Texas Tech: 5.5 vs Northern Colorado: 4.3
Rebounding (L5) +12.1% more
Texas Tech: 38.1 vs Northern Colorado: 34.0
Free Throw % (L5) +20.6%
Northern Colorado: 75.3% vs Texas Tech: 54.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCO Score 63.0 90
TTU Score 72.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 40.6 43.0 / 44.0
Assists 16.3 / 17.9 13.0 / 18.0
Blocks 4.1 / 2.2 6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.1 / 52.1 60.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 54.7 / 75.3 79.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 34.0 24.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.5 / 4.3 6.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 11.2 3.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCO
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
TTU Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCO Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
TTU
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCO
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.7
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
UNCO
TTU
UNCO
ML
62% 21-13
50% 16-16
71% 22-9
66% 21-11
ATS
65% 22-12
53% 17-15
71% 22-9
66% 21-11
TTL
59% 20-14
50% 16-16
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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