Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Wildcats ACU @ ARIZ

ABILENE CHRISTIAN

WILDCATSACU

7-4  |  Road

62
FINAL
Tue, Dec 16 • 9:00 PM ET
McKale Memorial Center
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA

WILDCATSARIZ

10-0  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
WILDCATS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Arizona)
WildcatsACU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsARIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

15.9%

Wildcats Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARIZ -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARIZ)

ACU By 1-7 points

10.7%

ACU By 8-14 points

3.3%

ARIZ By 1-7 points

23.0%

ARIZ By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
80
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
90
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
65
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
88
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 16, 2025 ACU @ ARIZ 62 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +39.9% more
Arizona: 19.0 vs Abilene Christian: 13.6
Rebounding (L5) +35.5% more
Arizona: 45.7 vs Abilene Christian: 33.7
Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Arizona: 51.4% vs Abilene Christian: 45.7%
Turnovers (L5) +28.4% more
Abilene Christian: 13.4 vs Arizona: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ACU Score 80.0 62
ARIZ Score 90.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 36.9 43.0 / 38.0
Assists 19.0 / 13.6 18.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.0 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 51.4 / 45.7 67.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 69.8 / 71.8 79.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 45.7 / 33.7 38.0 / 23.0
Steals 9.0 / 10.2 12.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 13.4 19.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
6%MONEY94%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ACU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
ARIZ Advantage
36-3-0 (92.3%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ACU
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
ARIZ Advantage
23-15-1 (60.5%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +1.4
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARIZ
ACU
ARIZ
ACU
ML
67% 26-13
67% 22-11
68% 23-11
70% 23-10
ATS
74% 29-10
55% 18-15
68% 23-11
70% 23-10
TTL
56% 22-17
58% 19-14
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 2 hours, 58 minutes ago
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 9 hours, 5 minutes ago
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
si 9 hours, 14 minutes ago
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
yahoo 22 hours, 14 minutes ago
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day, 3 hours ago