MIAMI (OH)-MIDDLETOWN
THUNDERHAWKSMMID
0-0 | Road
73
IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
3-9 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDERHAWKS
100%
JAGUARS
0%
THUNDERHAWKS
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IUIN -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)
MMID By 1-7 points
0.5%
MMID By 8-14 points
0.1%
IUIN By 1-7 points
3.3%
IUIN By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami (OH)-Middletown
79
MIAMI (OH)-MIDDLETOWN
IU Indianapolis
104
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
Miami (OH)-Middletown
48
MIAMI (OH)-MIDDLETOWN
IU Indianapolis
92
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jaguars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaguars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jaguars (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Jaguars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
MMID @ IUIN
73 - 126
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+466.3% more
IU Indianapolis: 17.0
vs
Miami (OH)-Middletown: 3.0
Blocks (L5)
+247.0% more
IU Indianapolis: 3.5
vs
Miami (OH)-Middletown: 1.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+22.1%
IU Indianapolis: 27.1%
vs
Miami (OH)-Middletown: 5.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+15.0%
IU Indianapolis: 40.0%
vs
Miami (OH)-Middletown: 25.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MMID Score
79.0
73
IUIN Score
104.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.1 / 5.0
36.0 / 35.0
Assists
17.0 / 3.0
42.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.5 / 1.0
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
40.0 / 25.0
54.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
70.3 / 95.0
83.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 30.0
41.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.9 / 7.0
20.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 35.0
7.0 / 28.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
MMID
IUIN
MMID
ML
69%
22-10
100%
1-0
78%
25-7
100%
1-0
ATS
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
78%
25-7
100%
1-0
TTL
50%
16-16
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0
Contextual Game News
