FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
PANTHERSFIU
5-4 | Road
81
MIAMI
HURRICANESMIA
10-2 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
PANTHERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
87.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIA -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
FIU By 1-7 points
9.3%
FIU By 8-14 points
2.7%
MIA By 1-7 points
21.6%
MIA By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida International
38
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Miami
49
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Florida International
68
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Miami
81
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 87.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
FIU @ MIA
81 - 98
Nov 13, 2023
FIU @ MIA
80 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.7% more
Miami: 20.9
vs
Florida International: 16.8
Rebounding (L5)
+17.5% more
Miami: 41.5
vs
Florida International: 35.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Miami: 53.0%
vs
Florida International: 46.6%
Steals (L5)
+36.7% more
Florida International: 12.5
vs
Miami: 7.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FIU Score
38.0
81
MIA Score
49.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.3 / 46.2
26.0 / 32.0
Assists
20.9 / 16.8
22.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.9
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
53.0 / 46.6
54.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
61.9 / 71.0
71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
41.5 / 35.4
37.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.9 / 12.5
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 11.6
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FIU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
MIA
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FIU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
MIA
18-15-1
(54.6%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +1.8
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
FIU
MIA
FIU
ML
63%
22-13
58%
18-13
64%
21-12
65%
20-11
ATS
63%
22-13
52%
16-15
64%
21-12
65%
20-11
TTL
63%
22-13
65%
20-11
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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