Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Roos @ Sooners KC @ OU

KANSAS CITY

ROOSKC

2-10  |  Road

67
FINAL
Tue, Dec 16 • 7:00 PM ET
Lloyd Noble Center
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA

SOONERSOU

8-3  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
100%
📊
SOONERS
0%
ROOS --
SOONERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Oklahoma)
RoosKC (-3.5) 0 SoonersOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Roos Cover

38.2%

Sooners Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)

KC By 1-7 points

21.6%

KC By 8-14 points

10.7%

OU By 1-7 points

27.2%

OU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
71
KANSAS CITY
74
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
67
KANSAS CITY
82
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sooners Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sooners Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sooners (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Sooners (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 16, 2025 KC @ OU 67 - 89
Dec 6, 2022 KC @ OU 53 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +14.0% more
Oklahoma: 15.6 vs Kansas City: 13.7
Free Throw % (L5) +4.4%
Oklahoma: 72.8% vs Kansas City: 68.5%
Turnovers (L5) +42.8% more
Kansas City: 17.5 vs Oklahoma: 10.0
Steals (L5) +16.3% more
Kansas City: 6.5 vs Oklahoma: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KC Score 71.0 67
OU Score 74.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.4 / 33.3 28.0 / 45.0
Assists 15.6 / 13.7 21.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.9 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 45.6 50.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 72.8 / 68.5 58.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 40.9 / 39.4 42.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.5 / 6.5 9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 17.5 8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0 (12.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
OU Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0 (17.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
OU Advantage
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +0.1
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
KC
OU
KC
ML
78% 28-8
63% 19-11
59% 20-14
67% 20-10
ATS
72% 26-10
67% 20-10
59% 20-14
67% 20-10
TTL
75% 27-9
70% 21-9
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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