Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / RedHawks @ Raiders M-OH @ WRST

MIAMI (OH)

REDHAWKSM-OH

10-0  |  Road

83
FINAL
Tue, Dec 16 • 7:00 PM ET
Nutter Center
View Odds Details →

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

5-6  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
📊
RAIDERS
0%
REDHAWKS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Wright State)
RedHawksM-OH (-3.5) 0 RaidersWRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

RedHawks Cover

30.9%

Raiders Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WRST -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

M-OH By 1-7 points

18.6%

M-OH By 8-14 points

8.0%

WRST By 1-7 points

27.2%

WRST By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
79
MIAMI (OH)
84
WRIGHT STATE
Simulated Score
68
MIAMI (OH)
72
WRIGHT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raiders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 16, 2025 M-OH @ WRST 83 - 76
Nov 9, 2024 WRST @ M-OH 81 - 68
Dec 19, 2023 M-OH @ WRST 82 - 92
Dec 22, 2022 WRST @ M-OH 88 - 80
Dec 5, 2020 M-OH @ WRST 47 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +70.3% more
Wright State: 4.8 vs Miami (OH): 2.8
Free Throw % (L5) +5.3%
Wright State: 67.3% vs Miami (OH): 62.0%
Assists (L5) +25.8% more
Miami (OH): 18.7 vs Wright State: 13.9
Rebounding (L5) +8.4% more
Miami (OH): 36.0 vs Wright State: 33.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score 79.0 83
WRST Score 84.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.7 / 38.4 14.0 / 53.0
Assists 13.9 / 18.7 10.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.8 / 2.8 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 52.0 43.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 67.3 / 62.0 79.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 36.0 38.0 / 30.0
Steals 9.2 / 9.0 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.0 / 9.5 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH Advantage
32-2-0 (94.1%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
WRST
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
WRST
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +5.6
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WRST
M-OH
WRST
M-OH
ML
37% 13-22
45% 15-18
63% 22-13
41% 13-19
ATS
46% 16-19
61% 20-13
63% 22-13
41% 13-19
TTL
63% 22-13
61% 20-13
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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