NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
19-11-3 | Road
2
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
18-12-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 3.10 | 0.857 | -- |
| John Gibson | None-None | 2.00 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.10
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.857
Save %
Ldr 0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
RED WINGS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DET By 1 goal
19.7%
DET By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
NYI @ DET
2 - 3
Nov 20, 2025
NYI @ DET
5 - 0
Oct 23, 2025
DET @ NYI
2 - 7
Nov 25, 2024
DET @ NYI
4 - 2
Nov 21, 2024
NYI @ DET
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.4% more
Detroit: 19.6
vs
New York: 17.4
Hits (L5)
+26.5% more
New York: 20.5
vs
Detroit: 15.1
Power Play % (L5)
+20.1%
New York: 31.1%
vs
Detroit: 11.0%
Takeaways (L5)
+9.2% more
New York: 5.1
vs
Detroit: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.0
2
DET Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.6 / 17.4
19.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
48.2 / 50.4
45.3 / 54.7
Hits
15.1 / 20.5
14.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
11.0 / 31.1
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 25.7
21.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 5.1
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NYI
DET
NYI
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-3
100%
2-0-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…