MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
11-14 | Road
121
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
6-19 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
GRIZZLIES
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
MEM By 1-7 points
0.3%
MEM By 8-14 points
0.0%
LAC By 1-7 points
2.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
98
MEMPHIS
LA
125
LA
Simulated Score
Memphis
108
MEMPHIS
LA
112
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-6)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u229.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u229.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
LAC @ MEM
123 - 120
Dec 15, 2025
MEM @ LAC
121 - 103
Dec 5, 2025
LAC @ MEM
98 - 107
Nov 28, 2025
MEM @ LAC
112 - 107
Mar 21, 2025
MEM @ LAC
108 - 128
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+35.4% more
LA: 11.1
vs
Memphis: 8.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
LA: 79.7%
vs
Memphis: 74.3%
Blocks (L5)
+28.9% more
Memphis: 4.9
vs
LA: 3.5
Rebounding (L5)
+25.7% more
Memphis: 48.9
vs
LA: 36.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
98.0
121
LAC Score
125.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 38.1
36.0 / 41.0
Assists
22.6 / 29.6
26.0 / 33.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.9
2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 47.8
46.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 74.3
73.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 48.9
39.0 / 32.0
Steals
11.1 / 8.2
4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 15.6
19.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
MEM
LAC
MEM
ML
60%
59-40
57%
59-44
55%
45-37
50%
41-41
ATS
66%
65-33-1
63%
65-38
55%
45-37
50%
41-41
TTL
59%
58-40-1
70%
71-31-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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