NIAGARA
PURPLE EAGLESNIA
2-8 | Road
58
VCU
RAMSVCU
6-4 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
PURPLE EAGLES
100%
RAMS
0%
PURPLE EAGLES
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (VCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VCU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)
NIA By 1-7 points
12.2%
NIA By 8-14 points
4.0%
VCU By 1-7 points
24.3%
VCU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Niagara
62
NIAGARA
VCU
71
VCU
Simulated Score
Niagara
60
NIAGARA
VCU
72
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 15, 2025
NIA @ VCU
58 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+77.0% more
VCU: 40.0
vs
Niagara: 22.6
Blocks (L5)
+27.9% more
VCU: 3.4
vs
Niagara: 2.7
Steals (L5)
+14.8% more
VCU: 7.7
vs
Niagara: 6.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.1%
VCU: 35.0%
vs
Niagara: 26.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NIA Score
62.0
58
VCU Score
71.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 26.9
48.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.1 / 12.4
17.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.7
9.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 41.3
50.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 71.8
67.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
40.0 / 22.6
37.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.7 / 6.7
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 12.0
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIA
8-22-0
(26.7%)
Margin: -7.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIA
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
VCU
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
NIA
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.7
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
NIA
VCU
NIA
ML
72%
26-10
55%
16-13
67%
22-11
72%
21-8
ATS
81%
29-7
69%
20-9
67%
22-11
72%
21-8
TTL
58%
21-15
55%
16-13
100%
33-0
100%
29-0
Contextual Game News
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