MCNEESE
COWBOYSMCN
9-2 | Road
78
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
5-5 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
COWBOYS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
109.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Houston Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HCU -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HCU)
MCN By 1-7 points
0.0%
MCN By 8-14 points
0.0%
HCU By 1-7 points
0.5%
HCU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
McNeese
38
MCNEESE
Houston Christian
71
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
McNeese
79
MCNEESE
Houston Christian
68
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (-14.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 109.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 9, 2026
HCU @ MCN
69 - 73
Dec 15, 2025
MCN @ HCU
78 - 68
Jan 13, 2025
MCN @ HCU
75 - 59
Mar 4, 2024
HCU @ MCN
69 - 87
Feb 12, 2024
MCN @ HCU
105 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+48.1% more
McNeese: 12.7
vs
Houston Christian: 6.6
Blocks (L5)
+17.5% more
McNeese: 4.4
vs
Houston Christian: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+11.8% more
McNeese: 12.2
vs
Houston Christian: 10.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.8%
McNeese: 75.2%
vs
Houston Christian: 66.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MCN Score
38.0
78
HCU Score
71.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 39.3
43.0 / 33.0
Assists
17.4 / 16.8
14.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.4
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 49.7
40.0 / 59.0
Free Throw %
66.4 / 75.2
82.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 36.7
28.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.6 / 12.7
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 12.2
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MCN
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
HCU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MCN
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
HCU
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HCU
MCN
HCU
MCN
ML
68%
21-10
67%
22-11
81%
25-6
88%
28-4
ATS
58%
18-13
76%
25-8
81%
26-6
88%
28-4
TTL
68%
21-10
42%
14-19
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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