Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Jackrabbits WYO @ SDST

WYOMING

COWBOYSWYO

9-2  |  Road

87
FINAL
Mon, Dec 15 • 8:00 PM ET
Sanford Pentagon
View Odds Details →

SOUTH DAKOTA STATE

JACKRABBITSSDST

7-6  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
📊
JACKRABBITS
0%
COWBOYS --
JACKRABBITS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (South Dakota State)
CowboysWYO (-3.5) 0 JackrabbitsSDST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

8.1%

Jackrabbits Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SDST -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDST)

WYO By 1-7 points

5.8%

WYO By 8-14 points

1.4%

SDST By 1-7 points

16.9%

SDST By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
59
WYOMING
73
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
68
WYOMING
72
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jackrabbits Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jackrabbits Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jackrabbits (+4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Jackrabbits (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 15, 2025 WYO @ SDST 87 - 72
Dec 20, 2023 WYO @ SDST 78 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +52.6% more
South Dakota State: 3.2 vs Wyoming: 2.1
Rebounding (L5) +11.4% more
South Dakota State: 41.3 vs Wyoming: 37.1
Steals (L5) +39.8% more
Wyoming: 9.2 vs South Dakota State: 5.5
Free Throw % (L5) +9.9%
Wyoming: 74.9% vs South Dakota State: 65.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WYO Score 59.0 87
SDST Score 73.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 38.0 38.0 / 42.0
Assists 17.1 / 16.0 8.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.1 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 53.7 40.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 65.0 / 74.9 75.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 41.3 / 37.1 21.0 / 38.0
Steals 5.5 / 9.2 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 10.7 7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
SDST
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
SDST
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
SDST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDST
WYO
SDST
WYO
ML
75% 24-8
52% 17-16
53% 17-15
70% 23-10
ATS
78% 25-7
64% 21-12
53% 17-15
70% 23-10
TTL
53% 17-15
64% 21-12
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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