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MINNESOTA CROOKSTON

GOLDEN EAGLESMNCR

0-0  |  Road

67
FINAL
Mon, Dec 15 • 8:00 PM ET
Scheels Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH DAKOTA STATE

BISONNDSU

9-3  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
BISON
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (North Dakota State)
Golden EaglesMNCR (-3.5) 0 BisonNDSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

0.0%

Bison Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NDSU -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NDSU)

MNCR By 1-7 points

0.0%

MNCR By 8-14 points

0.0%

NDSU By 1-7 points

0.2%

NDSU By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
56
MINNESOTA CROOKSTON
92
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
61
MINNESOTA CROOKSTON
88
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bison Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bison (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 15, 2025 MNCR @ NDSU 67 - 101
Nov 21, 2024 MNCR @ NDSU 60 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +84.8% more
North Dakota State: 9.2 vs Minnesota Crookston: 5.0
Assists (L5) +38.0% more
North Dakota State: 15.2 vs Minnesota Crookston: 11.0
Free Throw % (L5) +22.9%
North Dakota State: 68.9% vs Minnesota Crookston: 46.0%
Rebounding (L5) +11.0% more
North Dakota State: 36.6 vs Minnesota Crookston: 33.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MNCR Score 56.0 67
NDSU Score 92.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 40.0 39.0 / 36.0
Assists 15.2 / 11.0 18.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.2 / 5.0 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 42.0 53.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 68.9 / 46.0 83.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 33.0 38.0 / 24.0
Steals 9.2 / 5.0 16.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 13.0 10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MNCR
--
NDSU Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MNCR
--
NDSU Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MNCR
--
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NDSU
MNCR
NDSU
MNCR
ML
49% 17-18
100% 1-0
59% 20-14
100% 1-0
ATS
54% 19-16
100% 1-0
59% 20-14
100% 1-0
TTL
43% 15-20
0% 0-1
100% 34-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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