ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
19-12-1 | Road
4
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
16-13-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 1.00 | 0.963 | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 3.04 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.04
0.963 Ldr
Save %
0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
RANGERS
100%
DUCKS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
ANA By 1 goal
17.5%
ANA By 2-3 goals
37.2%
NYR By 1 goal
6.6%
NYR By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
New York
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Ducks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Ducks (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
NYR @ ANA
3 - 5
Dec 15, 2025
ANA @ NYR
4 - 1
Mar 28, 2025
NYR @ ANA
4 - 5
Oct 26, 2024
ANA @ NYR
1 - 2
Jan 21, 2024
NYR @ ANA
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+25.9% more
Anaheim: 4.2
vs
New York: 3.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.6% more
Anaheim: 33.3
vs
New York: 26.1
Hits (L5)
+78.2% more
New York: 31.8
vs
Anaheim: 17.8
Power Play % (L5)
+30.4%
New York: 35.2%
vs
Anaheim: 4.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
3.0
4
NYR Score
1.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.0 / 16.5
12.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
56.2 / 42.1
68.8 / 31.3
Hits
31.8 / 17.8
20.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
35.2 / 4.9
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
26.1 / 33.3
27.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
3.1 / 4.2
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
ANA
NYR
ANA
ML
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
40%
2-3
67%
2-1
ATS
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
TTL
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
0%
0-3
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