OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
14-13-4 | Road
3
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
15-15-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 1.95 | 0.920 | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 2.89 | 0.903 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.95 Ldr
GAA
2.89
0.920 Ldr
Save %
0.903
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
JETS
0%
SENATORS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
OTT By 1 goal
6.6%
OTT By 2-3 goals
3.7%
WPG By 1 goal
17.5%
WPG By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
1
OTTAWA
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
WPG @ OTT
2 - 4
Dec 15, 2025
OTT @ WPG
3 - 2
Feb 26, 2025
WPG @ OTT
4 - 1
Dec 28, 2024
OTT @ WPG
2 - 4
Mar 30, 2024
OTT @ WPG
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+8.4% more
Winnipeg: 26.9
vs
Ottawa: 24.8
Power Play % (L5)
+31.6%
Ottawa: 49.2%
vs
Winnipeg: 17.6%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.5% more
Ottawa: 33.2
vs
Winnipeg: 30.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.5%
Ottawa: 54.6%
vs
Winnipeg: 45.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
1.0
3
WPG Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.3 / 12.5
15.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
45.2 / 54.6
54.3 / 45.7
Hits
26.9 / 24.8
20.0 / 31.0
Power Play %
1760.0 / 4917.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.1 / 33.2
25.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 5.1
0.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
OTT
WPG
OTT
ML
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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