Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dolphins @ Aggies JAX @ TA&M

JACKSONVILLE

DOLPHINSJAX

5-6  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Reed Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS A&M

AGGIESTA&M

8-3  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
📊
AGGIES
0%
DOLPHINS --
AGGIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Texas A&M)
DolphinsJAX (-3.5) 0 AggiesTA&M (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

3.6%

Aggies Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TA&M -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)

JAX By 1-7 points

2.7%

JAX By 8-14 points

0.5%

TA&M By 1-7 points

10.7%

TA&M By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
71
JACKSONVILLE
89
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
65
JACKSONVILLE
72
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Aggies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Aggies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Aggies (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Aggies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 JAX @ TA&M 75 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +17.0% more
Texas A&M: 8.4 vs Jacksonville: 7.2
Assists (L5) +11.1% more
Texas A&M: 20.4 vs Jacksonville: 18.4
Turnovers (L5) +8.2% more
Texas A&M: 13.1 vs Jacksonville: 12.1
Free Throw % (L5) +8.0%
Texas A&M: 76.8% vs Jacksonville: 68.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JAX Score 71.0 75
TA&M Score 89.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 39.0 48.0 / 33.0
Assists 20.4 / 18.4 27.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.5 / 2.4 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 47.8 59.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 76.8 / 68.8 70.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 40.8 / 42.0 42.0 / 25.0
Steals 8.4 / 7.2 13.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 12.1 12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JAX
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
TA&M Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JAX
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
TA&M Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.4
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
JAX
TA&M
JAX
ML
67% 20-10
74% 23-8
54% 15-13
60% 18-12
ATS
67% 20-10
65% 20-11
54% 15-13
61% 19-12
TTL
70% 21-9
65% 20-11
100% 28-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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