PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
14-10 | Road
117
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
14-12 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
HAWKS
0%
76ERS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
PHI By 1-7 points
0.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
0.0%
ATL By 1-7 points
2.2%
ATL By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
96
PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta
123
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
109
PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta
118
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (-5)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.0
Loss
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Sim
u226.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
PHI @ ATL
116 - 125
Feb 19, 2026
ATL @ PHI
117 - 107
Dec 14, 2025
PHI @ ATL
117 - 120
Nov 30, 2025
ATL @ PHI
142 - 134
Apr 11, 2025
ATL @ PHI
124 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+33.9% more
Atlanta: 16.9
vs
Philadelphia: 12.6
Assists (L5)
+33.1% more
Atlanta: 30.8
vs
Philadelphia: 23.1
Steals (L5)
+28.0% more
Atlanta: 10.1
vs
Philadelphia: 7.9
Blocks (L5)
+16.4% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
Philadelphia: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
96.0
117
ATL Score
123.0
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 34.1
52.0 / 41.0
Assists
30.8 / 23.1
33.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.0 / 4.3
6.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 42.6
43.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
86.5 / 83.0
81.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
41.0 / 48.7
57.0 / 54.0
Steals
10.1 / 7.9
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
16.9 / 12.6
17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
PHI
ATL
PHI
ML
50%
52-52
63%
69-40
55%
48-40
48%
45-48
ATS
53%
55-48-1
65%
71-38
55%
48-40
48%
45-48
TTL
53%
55-48-1
55%
60-49
100%
88-0
100%
93-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …