EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
15-11-6 | Road
1
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
16-11-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alec Regula
#75 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Regula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 1.01 | 0.964 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.01
--
Save %
0.964
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
CANADIENS
100%
OILERS
--
CANADIENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MTL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
Edmonton
2
EDMONTON
Montreal
5
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
EDM @ MTL
1 - 4
Oct 23, 2025
MTL @ EDM
5 - 6
Mar 6, 2025
MTL @ EDM
2 - 3
Nov 18, 2024
EDM @ MTL
0 - 3
Mar 19, 2024
MTL @ EDM
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.7% more
Edmonton: 31.8
vs
Montreal: 24.3
Power Play % (L5)
+10.7%
Edmonton: 29.7%
vs
Montreal: 19.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.9%
Edmonton: 54.5%
vs
Montreal: 48.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+38.3% more
Montreal: 19.7
vs
Edmonton: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.0
1
MTL Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.7 / 14.2
11.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
48.6 / 54.5
49.1 / 50.9
Hits
19.4 / 18.6
20.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
19.0 / 29.7
50.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
24.3 / 31.8
27.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.2
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
EDM
MTL
EDM
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…