CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
7-18 | Road
119
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
15-11 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
CAVALIERS
100%
HORNETS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
CHA By 1-7 points
8.0%
CHA By 8-14 points
18.6%
CLE By 1-7 points
1.7%
CLE By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
125
CHARLOTTE
Cleveland
105
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Charlotte
98
CHARLOTTE
Cleveland
115
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (-11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u232.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u232.5
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
CLE @ CHA
118 - 113
Jan 21, 2026
CLE @ CHA
94 - 87
Dec 22, 2025
CHA @ CLE
132 - 139
Dec 14, 2025
CHA @ CLE
119 - 111
Mar 7, 2025
CLE @ CHA
118 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+24.7% more
Charlotte: 13.8
vs
Cleveland: 10.4
Blocks (L5)
+10.5% more
Charlotte: 4.4
vs
Cleveland: 3.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Charlotte: 35.8%
vs
Cleveland: 29.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Charlotte: 47.8%
vs
Cleveland: 43.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
125.0
119
CLE Score
105.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.0 / 35.8
32.0 / 39.0
Assists
25.1 / 25.9
27.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.4
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 47.8
40.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
84.1 / 79.9
79.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
50.0 / 40.6
46.0 / 53.0
Steals
9.1 / 7.0
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 13.8
14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHA
CLE
CHA
ML
60%
69-46
61%
60-39
56%
55-44
48%
40-44
ATS
67%
75-37-3
60%
59-40
56%
55-44
48%
40-44
TTL
59%
68-47
58%
57-42
100%
99-0
100%
84-0
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