Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pelicans @ Bulls NO @ CHI

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

4-22  |  Road

114
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 7:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

10-14  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
100%
📊
BULLS
0%
PELICANS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
251.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
PelicansNO (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pelicans Cover

46.0%

Bulls Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

NO By 1-7 points

24.3%

NO By 8-14 points

13.7%

CHI By 1-7 points

26.2%

CHI By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
125
NEW ORLEANS
126
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
113
NEW ORLEANS
118
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulls Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulls (+4) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o247.5 Loss
Proj Total: 251.0
D
Sim u247.5 Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 31, 2025 NO @ CHI 118 - 134
Dec 14, 2025 NO @ CHI 114 - 104
Nov 24, 2025 CHI @ NO 130 - 143
Jan 14, 2025 NO @ CHI 119 - 113
Oct 23, 2024 CHI @ NO 111 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +29.1% more
Chicago: 14.9 vs New Orleans: 11.5
Blocks (L5) +21.5% more
New Orleans: 5.2 vs Chicago: 4.1
Assists (L5) +19.4% more
New Orleans: 31.9 vs Chicago: 25.7
Steals (L5) +16.6% more
New Orleans: 8.9 vs Chicago: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 125.0 114
CHI Score 126.0 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 35.5 27.0 / 24.0
Assists 25.7 / 31.9 26.0 / 21.0
Blocks 4.1 / 5.2 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 51.1 41.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 79.3 / 85.8 88.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 42.7 / 44.5 43.0 / 53.0
Steals 7.5 / 8.9 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 11.5 13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI Advantage
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
NO
CHI
NO
ML
56% 54-42
62% 98-61
57% 46-35
58% 48-35
ATS
65% 62-33-1
68% 107-51-1
57% 46-35
58% 48-35
TTL
58% 56-40
75% 119-40
100% 81-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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