MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
HAWKSUMES
4-11 | Road
53
VIRGINIA TECH
HOKIESVT
10-2 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
HOKIES
0%
HAWKS
--
HOKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Virginia Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VT -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)
UMES By 1-7 points
16.9%
UMES By 8-14 points
6.8%
VT By 1-7 points
26.8%
VT By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
67
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Virginia Tech
73
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
55
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Virginia Tech
82
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hokies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hokies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hokies (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Hokies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
UMES @ VT
53 - 82
Dec 29, 2019
UMES @ VT
37 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+103.4% more
Virginia Tech: 4.8
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 2.3
Steals (L5)
+23.7% more
Virginia Tech: 7.3
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 5.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
Virginia Tech: 38.5%
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 30.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+18.6% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 12.4
vs
Virginia Tech: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UMES Score
67.0
53
VT Score
73.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 30.6
46.0 / 15.0
Assists
15.1 / 16.9
24.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.8 / 2.3
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 48.3
54.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 75.5
69.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 31.1
32.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.3 / 5.9
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 12.4
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
VT
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
VT
Advantage
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
UMES
VT
UMES
ML
53%
17-15
66%
21-11
72%
23-9
81%
21-5
ATS
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
72%
23-9
81%
21-5
TTL
69%
22-10
66%
21-11
100%
32-0
100%
26-0
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