THIEL
TOMCATSTHIEL
0-0 | Road
52
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
PENGUINSYSU
6-4 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
TOMCATS
100%
PENGUINS
0%
TOMCATS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
90.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Youngstown State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around YSU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YSU)
THIEL By 1-7 points
1.7%
THIEL By 8-14 points
0.3%
YSU By 1-7 points
8.0%
YSU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Thiel
35
THIEL
Youngstown State
55
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Simulated Score
Thiel
48
THIEL
Youngstown State
102
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -54.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 90.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
THIEL @ YSU
52 - 103
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
THIEL Score
35.0
52
YSU Score
55.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 0.0
42.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.9 / 0.0
21.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.7 / 0.0
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 0.0
59.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
65.2 / 0.0
73.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
38.2 / 0.0
41.0 / 28.0
Steals
6.8 / 0.0
11.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 0.0
7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
THIEL
--
YSU
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
THIEL
--
YSU
Advantage
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
THIEL
--
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YSU
THIEL
YSU
THIEL
ML
57%
17-13
100%
1-0
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
ATS
47%
14-16
100%
1-0
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
TTL
60%
18-12
100%
1-0
100%
30-0
100%
1-0