Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinals @ Fighting Camels BALL @ CAM

BALL STATE

CARDINALSBALL

3-7  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 2:00 PM ET
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

4-5  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
0%
📊
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
CARDINALS --
FIGHTING CAMELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
BALL STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Ball State)
CardinalsBALL (-3.5) 0 Fighting CamelsCAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

69.1%

Fighting Camels Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BALL -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BALL)

BALL By 1-7 points

27.2%

BALL By 8-14 points

23.0%

CAM By 1-7 points

18.6%

CAM By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
68
BALL STATE
63
CAMPBELL
Simulated Score
69
BALL STATE
72
CAMPBELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cardinals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Camels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cardinals (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Fighting Camels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 BALL @ CAM 64 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +16.7% more
Ball State: 8.4 vs Campbell: 7.0
Free Throw % (L5) +6.5%
Ball State: 69.9% vs Campbell: 63.4%
Assists (L5) +47.7% more
Campbell: 21.2 vs Ball State: 14.4
Blocks (L5) +47.2% more
Campbell: 4.5 vs Ball State: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BALL Score 68.0 64
CAM Score 63.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 26.7 21.0 / 14.0
Assists 21.2 / 14.4 13.0 / 7.0
Blocks 4.5 / 3.0 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.9 / 36.5 39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 63.4 / 69.9 55.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 47.9 / 34.9 45.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.0 / 8.4 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 10.6 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BALL
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.3
CAM Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BALL
14-14-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.3
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BALL
9-19-1
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9% Total +/-: -6.2
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAM
BALL
CAM
BALL
ML
65% 22-12
43% 13-17
71% 24-10
62% 18-11
ATS
67% 22-11-1
67% 20-10
71% 24-10
62% 18-11
TTL
53% 18-16
50% 15-15
100% 34-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 1 hour, 23 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 1 hour, 35 minutes ago
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 7 hours, 37 minutes ago
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
si 7 hours, 40 minutes ago
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 20 hours, 21 minutes ago