Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Flashes @ Pilots KENT @ PORT

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

9-2  |  Road

78
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 5:00 PM ET
Chiles Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

PILOTSPORT

7-4  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
📊
PILOTS
0%
GOLDEN FLASHES --
PILOTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Portland)
Golden FlashesKENT (-3.5) 0 PilotsPORT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Flashes Cover

18.4%

Pilots Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PORT -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PORT)

KENT By 1-7 points

12.2%

KENT By 8-14 points

4.0%

PORT By 1-7 points

24.3%

PORT By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
74
KENT STATE
83
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
67
KENT STATE
71
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pilots Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pilots Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pilots (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Pilots (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 KENT @ PORT 78 - 88
Dec 6, 2024 PORT @ KENT 57 - 76
Nov 14, 2022 PORT @ KENT 65 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +5.4%
Portland: 76.7% vs Kent State: 71.3%
Blocks (L5) +53.3% more
Kent State: 5.8 vs Portland: 2.7
Steals (L5) +38.2% more
Kent State: 8.0 vs Portland: 4.9
Rebounding (L5) +11.9% more
Kent State: 43.5 vs Portland: 38.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 74.0 78
PORT Score 83.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 41.7 36.0 / 30.0
Assists 21.7 / 22.3 27.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.7 / 5.8 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 53.5 / 57.3 52.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 76.7 / 71.3 67.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 38.3 / 43.5 29.0 / 38.0
Steals 4.9 / 8.0 14.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 14.2 16.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
PORT
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
PORT Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PORT
KENT
PORT
KENT
ML
48% 16-17
53% 18-16
82% 27-6
65% 22-12
ATS
67% 22-11
65% 22-12
82% 28-6
65% 22-12
TTL
55% 18-15
44% 15-19
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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