EVERGREEN STATE
GEODUCKSESC
0-0 | Road
55
IDAHO
VANDALSIDHO
7-4 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
GEODUCKS
100%
VANDALS
0%
GEODUCKS
--
VANDALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
IDAHO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Idaho)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IDHO -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDHO)
ESC By 1-7 points
0.0%
ESC By 8-14 points
0.0%
IDHO By 1-7 points
0.0%
IDHO By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Evergreen State
57
EVERGREEN STATE
Idaho
98
IDAHO
Simulated Score
Evergreen State
55
EVERGREEN STATE
Idaho
92
IDAHO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Vandals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vandals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vandals (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
Vandals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
ESC @ IDHO
55 - 109
Nov 19, 2024
ESC @ IDHO
58 - 101
Nov 14, 2023
ESC @ IDHO
42 - 88
Nov 5, 2019
ESC @ IDHO
82 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+43.6% more
Idaho: 13.6
vs
Evergreen State: 9.5
Blocks (L5)
+13.3% more
Idaho: 1.8
vs
Evergreen State: 1.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.0%
Idaho: 79.3%
vs
Evergreen State: 68.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.7%
Idaho: 44.9%
vs
Evergreen State: 34.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ESC Score
57.0
55
IDHO Score
98.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 30.9
47.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.6 / 9.5
25.0 / 15.0
Blocks
1.8 / 1.6
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 34.2
54.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
79.3 / 68.3
88.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
31.9 / 29.0
54.0 / 18.0
Steals
4.0 / 6.3
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 15.9
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ESC
--
IDHO
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ESC
--
IDHO
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
ESC
--
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDHO
ESC
IDHO
ESC
ML
56%
20-16
100%
2-0
64%
21-12
100%
2-0
ATS
58%
21-15
100%
2-0
64%
21-12
100%
2-0
TTL
69%
25-11
50%
1-1
100%
33-0
100%
2-0
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