BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
19-13-0 | Road
2
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
18-9-5 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 6.00 | 0.806 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 2.00 | 0.935 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.00
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.806
Save %
Ldr 0.935
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
WILD
0%
BRUINS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
MIN By 1 goal
19.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
BOS @ MIN
1 - 4
Mar 28, 2026
MIN @ BOS
3 - 6
Dec 14, 2025
BOS @ MIN
2 - 6
Mar 2, 2025
BOS @ MIN
0 - 1
Feb 4, 2025
MIN @ BOS
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+26.5%
Boston: 41.4%
vs
Minnesota: 15.0%
Takeaways (L5)
+11.7% more
Boston: 5.9
vs
Minnesota: 5.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.0%
Boston: 49.4%
vs
Minnesota: 44.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
2
MIN Score
4.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.8 / 17.3
14.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
44.4 / 49.4
48.5 / 51.5
Hits
23.1 / 23.6
14.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
15.0 / 41.4
66.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.0 / 26.3
31.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 5.9
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
BOS
MIN
BOS
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
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