Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Kennesaw St @ W Michigan KENN @ WMU

KENNESAW STATE

KENNESAW STKENN

10-3  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, Dec 19 • 11:00 AM ET
Brooks Stadium (SC)
View Odds Details →

WESTERN MICHIGAN

W MICHIGANWMU

9-4  |  Home

41
Key Game
Davis Bryson
KEY GAME

Davis Bryson

#9 | Wide Receiver
@
Ryan Millmore
KEY GAME

Ryan Millmore

#25 | Punter
Player
Davis Bryson None-None
Ryan Millmore None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
KENNESAW ST
100%
📊
W MICHIGAN
0%
KENNESAW ST --
W MICHIGAN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
23.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Western Michigan)
Kennesaw StKENN (-3.5) 0 W MichiganWMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kennesaw St Cover

47.2%

W Michigan Cover

52.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around WMU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WMU)

KENN By 1-6 points

16.1%

KENN By 7-13 points

14.6%

WMU By 1-6 points

16.7%

WMU By 7-13 points

16.1%

AI Model Projected Score
11
KENNESAW STATE
12
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
24
KENNESAW STATE
27
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI W Michigan Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim W Michigan Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI W Michigan (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
B
Sim W Michigan (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 23.0
B
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 19, 2025 KENN @ WMU 6 - 41
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +84.7% more
Western Michigan: 265.9 vs Kennesaw State: 144.0
Turnovers (L5) +55.0% more
Kennesaw State: 1.0 vs Western Michigan: 0.4
First Downs (L5) +19.5% more
Kennesaw State: 24.2 vs Western Michigan: 19.5
Total Yards (L5) +9.5% more
Kennesaw State: 415.4 vs Western Michigan: 376.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENN Score 11.0 6
WMU Score 12.0 41
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.5 / 24.2 18.0 / 17.0
Rushing Yards 265.9 / 144.0 303.0 / 169.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.38 / 0.29
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 376.0 / 415.4 423.0 / 378.0
Turnovers 0.4 / 1.0 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: +2.3
WMU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: +2.3
WMU
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
WMU
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WMU
KENN
WMU
KENN
ML
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
ATS
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
TTL
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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