Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pirates @ Bison HAMP @ HOW

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

5-5  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 3:00 PM ET
CareFirst Arena
View Odds Details →

HOWARD

BISONHOW

6-5  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
0%
📊
BISON
100%
PIRATES --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
HAMPTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Hampton)
PiratesHAMP (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pirates Cover

99.7%

Bison Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HAMP -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAMP)

HAMP By 1-7 points

1.7%

HAMP By 8-14 points

6.8%

HOW By 1-7 points

0.2%

HOW By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
82
HAMPTON
54
HOWARD
Simulated Score
71
HAMPTON
77
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pirates Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pirates (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 HAMP @ HOW 57 - 61
Feb 1, 2025 HOW @ HAMP 79 - 80
Dec 28, 2024 HOW @ HAMP 67 - 83
Feb 3, 2024 HAMP @ HOW 63 - 61
Nov 6, 2023 HAMP @ HOW 80 - 92
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.3%
Hampton: 38.4% vs Howard: 34.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
Hampton: 49.2% vs Howard: 45.4%
Blocks (L5) +27.9% more
Howard: 4.6 vs Hampton: 3.6
Turnovers (L5) +27.9% more
Howard: 13.8 vs Hampton: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score 82.0 57
HOW Score 54.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 38.4 17.0 / 5.0
Assists 16.4 / 15.5 11.0 / 3.0
Blocks 4.6 / 3.6 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 49.2 40.0 / 26.0
Free Throw % 67.8 / 63.5 64.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 35.9 / 37.5 38.0 / 42.0
Steals 9.8 / 8.0 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 10.8 13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
HAMP
HOW
HAMP
ML
59% 20-14
53% 17-15
71% 22-9
75% 24-8
ATS
59% 20-14
50% 16-16
71% 22-9
75% 24-8
TTL
62% 21-13
68% 21-10-1
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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