MARIST
RED FOXESMRST
6-2 | Road
82
BRYANT
BULLDOGSBRY
3-8 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
RED FOXES
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
RED FOXES
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
MARIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Marist)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MRST -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRST)
MRST By 1-7 points
20.1%
MRST By 8-14 points
27.2%
BRY By 1-7 points
8.0%
BRY By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Marist
72
MARIST
Bryant
60
BRYANT
Simulated Score
Marist
68
MARIST
Bryant
72
BRYANT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Foxes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Foxes (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
MRST @ BRY
82 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+12.8% more
Marist: 6.8
vs
Bryant: 5.9
Rebounding (L5)
+12.6% more
Marist: 41.1
vs
Bryant: 35.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Marist: 43.8%
vs
Bryant: 40.1%
Blocks (L5)
+129.4% more
Bryant: 6.1
vs
Marist: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MRST Score
72.0
82
BRY Score
60.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 30.4
35.0 / 38.0
Assists
15.5 / 16.6
14.0 / 15.0
Blocks
6.1 / 2.7
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
40.1 / 43.8
50.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
84.5 / 76.8
69.0 / 95.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 41.1
24.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.8
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 13.0
16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRST
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRST
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MRST
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -3.0
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRY
MRST
BRY
MRST
ML
70%
21-9
55%
17-14
80%
24-6
61%
19-12
ATS
73%
22-8
74%
23-8
80%
24-6
61%
19-12
TTL
67%
20-10
52%
16-15
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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