Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Griffins @ Black Bears CAN @ ME

CANISIUS

GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN

5-6  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 2:00 PM ET
Skip Chappelle Court in Memorial Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

MAINE

BLACK BEARSME

1-12  |  Home

43
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
100%
📊
BLACK BEARS
0%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS --
BLACK BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MAINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Maine)
Golden GriffinsCAN (-3.5) 0 Black BearsME (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Griffins Cover

38.2%

Black Bears Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ME -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ME)

CAN By 1-7 points

21.6%

CAN By 8-14 points

10.7%

ME By 1-7 points

27.2%

ME By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
72
CANISIUS
75
MAINE
Simulated Score
68
CANISIUS
71
MAINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Black Bears Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Black Bears Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Black Bears (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Black Bears (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o126.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u126.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 CAN @ ME 70 - 43
Dec 14, 2024 ME @ CAN 84 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +228.0% more
Maine: 9.2 vs Canisius: 2.8
Blocks (L5) +223.3% more
Maine: 3.9 vs Canisius: 1.2
Turnovers (L5) +20.5% more
Maine: 15.6 vs Canisius: 12.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.5%
Maine: 42.1% vs Canisius: 26.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAN Score 72.0 70
ME Score 75.0 43
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.1 / 26.6 21.0 / 45.0
Assists 10.4 / 9.0 11.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.9 / 1.2 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 35.8 31.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 66.3 / 71.1 50.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 26.1 / 35.9 32.0 / 42.0
Steals 9.2 / 2.8 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 12.9 16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAN Advantage
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
ME
8-24-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAN
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
ME Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4% Total +/-: -3.6
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ME
CAN
ME
CAN
ML
45% 14-17
55% 17-14
52% 16-15
68% 21-10
ATS
55% 17-14
65% 20-11
52% 16-15
68% 21-10
TTL
55% 17-14
58% 18-13
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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