Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hornets @ Lancers DSU @ LONG

DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

3-8  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 3:00 PM ET
Joan Perry Brock Center
View Odds Details →

LONGWOOD

LANCERSLONG

6-5  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
LANCERS
0%
HORNETS --
LANCERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
LONGWOOD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Longwood)
HornetsDSU (-3.5) 0 LancersLONG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

6.7%

Lancers Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LONG -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LONG)

DSU By 1-7 points

4.8%

DSU By 8-14 points

1.1%

LONG By 1-7 points

15.3%

LONG By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
66
DELAWARE STATE
81
LONGWOOD
Simulated Score
55
DELAWARE STATE
75
LONGWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lancers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lancers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lancers (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Lancers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 DSU @ LONG 81 - 76
Dec 9, 2023 LONG @ DSU 62 - 61
Nov 24, 2023 DSU @ LONG 82 - 84
Dec 3, 2022 LONG @ DSU 75 - 49
Dec 4, 2021 DSU @ LONG 58 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +80.7% more
Longwood: 3.2 vs Delaware State: 1.8
Assists (L5) +20.2% more
Longwood: 14.6 vs Delaware State: 12.1
Turnovers (L5) +15.2% more
Longwood: 14.4 vs Delaware State: 12.5
Rebounding (L5) +11.5% more
Longwood: 36.7 vs Delaware State: 32.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DSU Score 66.0 81
LONG Score 81.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.3 / 29.0 25.0 / 67.0
Assists 14.6 / 12.1 12.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.2 / 1.8 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.8 / 39.5 49.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 73.9 / 66.5 90.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 32.9 33.0 / 23.0
Steals 8.3 / 10.8 5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 12.5 16.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
LONG Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
LONG Advantage
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LONG
DSU
LONG
DSU
ML
65% 20-11
60% 18-12
68% 21-10
75% 18-6
ATS
68% 21-10
60% 18-12
68% 21-10
72% 18-7
TTL
65% 20-11
57% 17-13
100% 31-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
SDSU's Nick Anderson Making Speedy Recovery from ACL Surgery, Ey…
headtopics 6 days, 18 hours ago
Tigers Lock Up Broadcast Duo Dan Dickerson and Jason Benetti wit…
yahoo 2 weeks ago
Nuggets Eye Ryan Nembhard as Potential Two-Way Steal if Hornets …
yahoo 2 weeks, 1 day ago
NC State's Stunning Collapse at Vanderbilt Joins List of Infamou…
yardbarker 2 weeks, 5 days ago
Cleveland Cavaliers Elevate Brandon Weems to General Manager
yahoo 2 weeks, 6 days ago