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EASTERN ILLINOIS

PANTHERSEIU

2-7  |  Road

53
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 1:00 PM ET
Hilton Coliseum
View Odds Details →

IOWA STATE

CYCLONESISU

10-0  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
CYCLONES
0%
PANTHERS --
CYCLONES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
IOWA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Iowa State)
PanthersEIU (-3.5) 0 CyclonesISU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

34.5%

Cyclones Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ISU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ISU)

EIU By 1-7 points

20.1%

EIU By 8-14 points

9.3%

ISU By 1-7 points

27.4%

ISU By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
82
EASTERN ILLINOIS
86
IOWA STATE
Simulated Score
52
EASTERN ILLINOIS
88
IOWA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cyclones Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cyclones Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cyclones (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Cyclones (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 EIU @ ISU 53 - 78
Dec 21, 2023 EIU @ ISU 48 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +74.3% more
Iowa State: 10.7 vs Eastern Illinois: 6.1
Blocks (L5) +57.3% more
Iowa State: 4.3 vs Eastern Illinois: 2.7
Assists (L5) +34.7% more
Iowa State: 17.3 vs Eastern Illinois: 12.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.6%
Iowa State: 44.1% vs Eastern Illinois: 30.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EIU Score 82.0 53
ISU Score 86.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.1 / 30.5 17.0 / 32.0
Assists 17.3 / 12.9 19.0 / 7.0
Blocks 4.3 / 2.7 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 52.3 / 41.8 47.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 71.0 / 76.8 74.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 31.7 / 28.7 38.0 / 29.0
Steals 10.7 / 6.1 10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 12.3 12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
ISU Advantage
29-8-0 (78.4%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU
15-13-2 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
ISU Advantage
22-14-1 (61.1%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.7
ISU
16-21-0
O: 43.2% / U: 56.8% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ISU
EIU
ISU
EIU
ML
57% 21-16
56% 18-14
76% 26-8
74% 23-8
ATS
62% 23-14
50% 16-16
76% 26-8
74% 23-8
TTL
54% 20-17
69% 22-10
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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