Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Miners @ Rainbow Warriors UTEP @ HAW

UTEP

MINERSUTEP

3-6  |  Road

61
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 11:59 PM ET
Stan Sheriff Center
View Odds Details →

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

10-2  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
MINERS
0%
📊
RAINBOW WARRIORS
100%
MINERS --
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
UTEP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (UTEP)
MinersUTEP (-3.5) 0 Rainbow WarriorsHAW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Miners Cover

94.5%

Rainbow Warriors Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTEP -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTEP)

UTEP By 1-7 points

13.7%

UTEP By 8-14 points

24.3%

HAW By 1-7 points

4.0%

HAW By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
85
UTEP
69
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
68
UTEP
72
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Miners Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Miners (-12.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o138.5 Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 UTEP @ HAW 61 - 66
Dec 22, 2019 UTEP @ HAW 63 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +11.8% more
UTEP: 13.6 vs Hawai'i: 12.0
Steals (L5) +10.4% more
UTEP: 8.4 vs Hawai'i: 7.5
Assists (L5) +59.5% more
Hawai'i: 16.7 vs UTEP: 10.5
Rebounding (L5) +47.2% more
Hawai'i: 43.5 vs UTEP: 29.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTEP Score 85.0 61
HAW Score 69.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 28.1 32.0 / 36.0
Assists 16.7 / 10.5 10.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.2 3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 48.4 / 43.0 40.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 68.0 / 69.1 82.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 43.5 / 29.5 35.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.5 / 8.4 3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 13.6 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTEP
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTEP Advantage
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
HAW
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -1.2
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
UTEP
HAW
UTEP
ML
61% 20-13
70% 21-9
68% 21-10
72% 21-8
ATS
67% 22-11
57% 17-13
68% 21-10
73% 22-8
TTL
61% 20-13
60% 18-12
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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