ST. BONAVENTURE
BONNIESSBU
10-1 | Road
83
OHIO
BOBCATSOHIO
3-6 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
BONNIES
100%
BOBCATS
0%
BONNIES
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Ohio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OHIO -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)
SBU By 1-7 points
0.1%
SBU By 8-14 points
0.0%
OHIO By 1-7 points
1.4%
OHIO By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Bonaventure
62
ST. BONAVENTURE
Ohio
91
OHIO
Simulated Score
St. Bonaventure
68
ST. BONAVENTURE
Ohio
72
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (-6)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
SBU @ OHIO
83 - 88
Nov 5, 2019
OHIO @ SBU
65 - 53
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+52.1% more
St. Bonaventure: 4.6
vs
Ohio: 2.2
Assists (L5)
+32.1% more
St. Bonaventure: 18.6
vs
Ohio: 12.6
Steals (L5)
+18.6% more
St. Bonaventure: 8.5
vs
Ohio: 6.9
Turnovers (L5)
+12.2% more
St. Bonaventure: 12.9
vs
Ohio: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SBU Score
62.0
83
OHIO Score
91.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 32.5
30.0 / 25.0
Assists
12.6 / 18.6
14.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.2 / 4.6
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 48.1
55.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
74.7 / 75.9
73.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 38.1
30.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.9 / 8.5
3.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 12.9
16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SBU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
OHIO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SBU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
OHIO
Advantage
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SBU
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.1
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
SBU
OHIO
SBU
ML
65%
20-11
59%
20-14
63%
19-11
61%
20-13
ATS
68%
21-10
50%
17-17
63%
19-11
61%
20-13
TTL
61%
19-12
38%
13-21
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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