OAKLAND
GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK
5-5 | Road
63
NORTHERN IOWA
PANTHERSUNI
7-2 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
100%
PANTHERS
0%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
NORTHERN IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (Northern Iowa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNI -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNI)
OAK By 1-7 points
0.0%
OAK By 8-14 points
0.0%
UNI By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNI By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Oakland
36
OAKLAND
Northern Iowa
82
NORTHERN IOWA
Simulated Score
Oakland
74
OAKLAND
Northern Iowa
78
NORTHERN IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
OAK @ UNI
63 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+58.7% more
Oakland: 5.8
vs
Northern Iowa: 2.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.4%
Oakland: 72.6%
vs
Northern Iowa: 66.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Oakland: 52.5%
vs
Northern Iowa: 47.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Oakland: 35.3%
vs
Northern Iowa: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OAK Score
36.0
63
UNI Score
82.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 35.3
33.0 / 28.0
Assists
18.5 / 20.1
19.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.4 / 5.8
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 52.5
45.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
66.2 / 72.6
59.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 34.5
38.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.1 / 8.2
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.5 / 8.6
8.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
UNI
Advantage
23-13-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
UNI
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.0
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNI
OAK
UNI
OAK
ML
51%
18-17
62%
20-12
56%
19-15
59%
19-13
ATS
49%
17-18
50%
16-16
56%
19-15
59%
19-13
TTL
69%
24-11
62%
20-12
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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